Paying for Predictions  deals with forecast-based flood preparedness and constantly changing risk. Players decide whether invest in preparing for a disaster or not, while high uncertainty looms above their heads. The gameplay simulates the process of individual and collective decision-making.


Facilitator starts with explaining the rules.

Players make individual and collective decisions regarding flood preparedness.

Player “pay” for the predictions literally and figuratively by dealing with consequences of their actions.

The game ends after the 10th round. Facilitator starts debriefing after announcing the player with most profit.


Climate-based disaster risk reduction.


The game emphasizes concept of climate-based disaster risk reduction.

Training in decision-making under high uncertainty.




Free for non-comercial purpose.

Number of players

more than 10 players

Number of moderators

1 moderator


1-2 hours


1 dice and 1 cup for a team



Assimilating sophisticated rule system.

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